The macroeconomic operation data in the first half of the year will be announced in the near future。Some institutions indicate，It is expected that economic growth in the second quarter is basically the same as the first quarter，The growth rate of GDP in the first half of the year was about 6.7%。
Industry insiders said，Steady growth is still the main tone of the second half of the year。In this background，The economy will be investing、Supply -side structural reform、The four major areas of state -owned enterprise reform and "double innovation"。
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Industry insiders think，The economy still runs in a reasonable range in the first half of the year，It is expected that economic growth in the second quarter will remain at about 6.7%，Basically flat with the first quarter。Look at it overall，Economic growth is remarkable。
Wang Hongju, deputy director of the Comprehensive Department of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said，It is expected to have a economic growth of about 6.7%in the second quarter，Residents' consumer prices rose about 2.0%，A new weak balance pattern formed in the second quarter。
The "Economic and Financial Outlook Report 2016" recently released by Bank of China recently released，Benefiting sky bet login from the preliminary policy stimulus、Infrastructure investment and rapid growth of real estate、PPI narrowing, etc., Industrial production has been relatively stable since this year，The benefits of industrial enterprises have also improved。It is expected that GDP will increase by about 6.7%in the second quarter，The growth rate is basically the same as the first quarter。The growth rate of GDP in the first half of the year was 6.7%。
"The Chinese economy can basically be described as‘ from down to stability ’ in the first half of the year。"Zhang Liqun, a researcher at the Macroeconomic Research Center of the Development Research Center of the State Council, said，Benefiting from the support of the steady growth policy for a period of time，and urbanization、Specific measures such as simplified administration and decentralization have gradually appeared，"Stability" has become an important feature of the first half of the year。
Industry insiders think，In addition to the bottom of the steady growth policy，The key to the stable economic operation of the first half of the year is also the growth of domestic consumption。Data Show of the National Bureau of Statistics，January-May total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 10.2%year-on-year，Continue to maintain smooth and rapid growth trend。The actual growth rate of retail sales of 5,000 key enterprises monitored by the Ministry of Commerce (deducting price factor) has maintained a recovery momentum for 3 consecutive months。
According to the Sky Bet app latest survey of Boston Consulting Company (BCG), it is displayed，Slowing economic growth、Under the environment of market fluctuations，The consumption willingness of Chinese consumers is still strong。Although the growth rate slows down slightly，But consumption growth is still rising orbit。
Liu Ying, director of the Cooperation Research Department of the Chongyang Financial Research Institute of Renmin University of China, believes，There are still some changes in economic growth in the first half of the year: First, the supply -side structural reform is constantly promoting economic growth，De -capacity、Devitar progress is orderly; the second is to accelerate the innovation -driven economic growth momentum，The new industry drives economic growth obvious; the third is，From the PMI index，Non -manufacturing contribution to economic growth increases。
Four fields are expected to work
Industry insiders said，China's economy will continue to maintain a steady growth trend in the second half of the year。Reports recently released by the Institute of Finance and Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences，Price increase in the second half of the year will be differentiated，PPI decreases year -on -year decline and continues to shrink and tends to be positive，CPI is expected to rise by 2.0%for the whole year。The increase in retail sales of consumer goods is basically stable，Fixed asset investment、Real estate investment、The increase in currency supply has decreased slightly。Economic growth in the sky bet login whole year is about 6.6%，Growth target higher than 6.5%。
Marketing analysis，Economics in the second half of the year will work in the four major areas。Investment force will be a major feature of economic operation in the second half of the year。Pan Xiangdong, chief economist of Galaxy Securities，Public investment stabilizing and rebounding is the key to economic stability in the second half of the year。Current，The inspection team of the State Council is conducting inspections on civil investment in various places，Policies and measures to promote private investment growth in the second half of the year are expected to be introduced。
Expert said，Investment in the "carriage" has always been the main force of economic growth in the bottom。Although the investment scale has been large in recent years，But the investment in the regional structure、There is still room for power in the industrial structure。Infrastructure for investment、Three major pieces of manufacturing and real estate investment，The larger variable in the second half of the year is real estate investment。The growth rate of real estate investment in the third quarter will slow，It is expected to remain at about 3%throughout the year。Infrastructure investment will continue to grow steadily under the government's leverage，growth rate or 18%。Look at it overall，The growth rate of fixed asset investment will be 10%or 10%，Continue to play the role of the bottom。
Supply -side structural reform will increase，It is expected that the relevant implementation plans of the five major tasks of sky bet games online the "three to one, one, one supplement" will be implemented one after another。Liu Ying said，Supply -side structural reforms can be increased，Adjustment in the industrial structure in the second half of the year、System Innovation、Technology Innovation、Industrial innovation and other aspects need to be increased，Especially requires more systems、mechanism innovation，To give birth、politics、Learning、Research、Tightly combined with it，Increase R & D investment，Putting the innovation -driven development strategy to implement it。
State -owned enterprise reform will make substantial progress in the second half of this year，Many reform measures will also be introduced densely in the next few months。Industry insiders，In the second half of the year, the market -oriented reorganization of state -owned enterprise reform is surging，Nuclear power、Air、Shipping、Military workers、Railway and other five major industries are highly reorganized.。Chief Macro Strategy Analyst of Zhongtai Securities Luo Wenbo believes，Many provinces and cities have formulated and issued a detailed plan and pilot plan for state -owned enterprise reform。With the continuous deepening of reform，Market -based mergers and reorganizations guided by mixed ownership will accelerate。From the perspective of increasing the potential of asset securitization rate，Future state -owned asset securitizationwill be accelerated。Promotion of securitization of local and central enterprises，It will release a large market space。
Increase the "double innovation" strength。Recently, my country's first "double innovation" report came out，Xu Shaoshi, director of the National Development and Reform Commission, said，The next step will be through various means and measures，further excitementEnthusiasm and vitality of Volkswagen Entrepreneurship。Support and cultivate the Internet+innovation and entrepreneurial service platform，Promote the creation、crowdsourcing、Zhongfu、crowdfunding and other new formats、The new model is booming。
Big fiscal policy space
From the perspective of the industry，Although the economy maintains the momentum of running smoothly，But in the second half of the year still face large pressure and uncertainty，Stable growth policy still needs to continue to add yards。
Wang Hongju said，The current economic characteristics are the growth rate、Investment structure improvement、Strict foreign trade situation、The growth rate of fiscal revenue has improved slightly。But the economic downward pressure in the second half of the year is relatively large，Still requires policy entrustment，Double targets of supply -side structural reforms and economic stable operation。
"Foreign risk events are constantly，Domestic economic downlink pressure rises，All need to stabilize the growth policy。"Xu Gao, chief economist of Everbright Securities, said，YingCountryBrexitPost -WaiDepartmentIncreased uncertainty，It will impact China from multiple channels sky bet games online such as trade and capital flows。Although the impact is limited at present，But it does not rule out the fermentation upgrade of the event、Possibility of impact increase。So，It is necessary to stabilize the growth policy and increase the domestic economic stability，Enhance the ability to resist external risks。At the same time，Rising downward pressure on the domestic economy leads to rising employment of employment in some regions and risks in financial risks，It also improved the demand for steady growth policies。
Li Huiyong, a macro chief economic analyst at Shen Wanhongyuan, believes: "The economy is close but there is far -sightedness。"He said，Foreign needs，IMF has once again reduced the US economic growth rate to 2.2%after the US economic growth rate was reduced in April in April;，Future needs to continue to undergo pressure。Domestic demand，Although the manufacturing production side continues to expand the trend，But because of the current demand side weak，Market replenishment is still cautious，Demand growth face pressure。"To ensure that 6.5%of the goal of the year still requires stable growth policy。”
From Li Huiyong's view，The fiscal policy in the second half of the year will be more positive。Under the background of facing downward pressure and accelerating structural reform of the economy，Fiscal policy is more advantageous，The role will also be greater。It should be through a more strong fiscal policy，Increase new infrastructure investment，Make up for insufficient sky bet login private investment，Stable economic growth。